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Josh Green

Josh Green Points
Player Prop - 2/8/2023

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Josh Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -122.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Josh Green has made a whopping 56.3% of his shot attempts from the field this season, a significant increase from his 47.8 rate last season.
  • Josh Green has played 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.1 more than he's played overall this season.
  • The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road when it comes to three-point attempts.
  • The Clippers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Josh Green has converted 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year on the road.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Josh Green has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (84th percentile).
  • The matchup vs. Paul George is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when George is playing at home and squaring off against opposing starting SGs this year, they have made a mere 44.8% of their three-point shots (96th percentile).
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year.
  • The Clippers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Mavericks.
  • The Dallas Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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