Josh Green Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Josh Green

NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Dallas Mavericks

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 1:39 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Green Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-200/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +175 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Green has converted 1.9 treys per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted overall this year while at home.
The Mavericks check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Dallas Mavericks are expected to see an increase in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Indiana Pacers).
Josh Green figures to get a boost in effectiveness for all stats due to enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.9 three attempts per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Pacers, making this a difficult matchup.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 3rdworst in in the league with only 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
When playing away from home, the Indiana Pacers have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to the other team over the last 7 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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