Josh Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Josh Green

NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Green has tallied 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 4.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league this year has been the Mavericks.
The Dallas Mavericks will likely get a boost in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Raptors).
Over the last 25 games when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has captured 10.0 offensive boards per game (10th-fewest in the NBA) against the Raptors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise generate more chances for offense).

Favors Under

The Mavericks check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Green will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to reduce player performance in all stat categories.

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