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Josh Green

Josh Green Assists
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic

Josh Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-132/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Green has averaged 2.8 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the league's hottest by this standard over this stretch: 75th percentile.

Josh Green has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks grade out 11thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 10.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

This year, their opposition has nabbed 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).

Josh Green should get a boost in productivity for all stats on account of holding the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Josh Green has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's been called for overall this season.

The 10th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Mavericks.

The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Mavericks.

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