Josh Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Josh Green

NBA · Player Props

Josh Green

G · Dallas Mavericks

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Green has put up 2.4 assists per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.9 higher than he's put up in all games this year at home.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 9th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Kings have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which should lead to more opportunities for the Mavericks.
Away from home, the Kings have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Green will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Josh Green has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Dallas Mavericks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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