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Josh Green

Josh Green Assists
Player Prop - 4/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
Josh Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+182/-244).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -233 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -244.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Josh Green has compiled 2.5 assists per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year.
  • Josh Green has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, 4.8 higher than he's been on the court for overall this season on the road.
  • The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Josh Green has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (87th percentile).
  • The Dallas Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year.
  • The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Mavericks.
  • The Dallas Mavericks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Josh Green will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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