Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 5/15/2024

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks · May 15, 2024

Updated May 16, 2024 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to offense, the Thunder's excellent 122.1 points per game as the home team places 2nd-most in the NBA this year.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have tallied 2.4 threes per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a good matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
Josh Giddey has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.0% more than he's made overall this season.
Josh Giddey will likely see a spike in output in all stat categories in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Josh Giddey has attempted a measly 10.4 field goals per game this season, significantly less than his 14.8 mark last season.
Josh Giddey has played a measly 24.7 minutes per game this season, significantly lower than his 31.3 minutes per game last season.
The Thunder are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities today from being pitted against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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