Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2024

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 13, 2024

Updated Feb 14, 2024 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Thunder rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a strong one for three-point shots; when the Orlando Magic are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted the 25th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (42.3%).
On their home court, the Magic have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Josh Giddey has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.6% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 16.6 clip, Josh Giddey's points per game have been reduced this year to 11.5.
In contrast to last year's 31.3 clip, Josh Giddey's playing time has diminished this year to 24.9 minutes per game.
The 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Oklahoma City Thunder.
The Magic have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Thunder.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, but the Thunder grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.

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