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Josh Giddey

Josh Giddey Points
Player Prop - 12/16/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Josh Giddey has successfully made 1.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.

As it relates to scoring, the Thunder's superb 123.1 points per game ranks 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Over the last 5 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (22nd-most in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, finding it easy to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Compared to last year's 14.8 clip, Josh Giddey's shots taken have dropped this year to 12.0 per game.

The matchup against Denver is a hard one for three-point shots; when the Nuggets are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have compiled the 14th-lowest three rate in the league this year (22.4%).

The Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from competing against the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Oklahoma City Thunder rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.5 offensive boards per game this year.

The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (13.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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