Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 10:22 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has sunk 6.8 shots made from the field per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 more than he's made overall this year.
Josh Giddey has sunk 45.7% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 18.3% higher than he's sunk in all games this year away from his home court.
Josh Giddey has been on the court for 30.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Thunder.

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against San Antonio is a tough one for scoring; when the Spurs are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least baskets per game in the NBA this year (4.1).
The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Spurs may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (10th-least in the NBA).
Josh Giddey will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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