Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Utah Jazz · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has sunk 6.8 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Josh Giddey has been on the court for 30.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a favorable one; they have allowed the 25th-most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs since the start of last season (18.7).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games while playing at home.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Jazz have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Thunder.

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