Josh Giddey Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has successfully made 9.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.4 more than he's put through the net over the course of the year while playing away from home.
Josh Giddey has been on the court for 30.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 80th percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should raise possessions for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Golden State is a challenging one for field goals; when the Warriors have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have put up the 3rd-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (40.1%).
When playing at home, the Warriors have allowed the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Oklahoma City Thunder have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line in recent games: 4th-worst in the league over the last 10 games, totaling just 20.2 foul shots per game.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted just 26.1 foul shots per game this year (2nd-least in the league).