Josh Giddey Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+107/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has averaged 5.8 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Thunder have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has secured 8.9 offensive boards per game (fewest in the league) against the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise lead to more chances for offense).

Favors Under

The Thunder will likely see a decline in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Heat).
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Giddey should see a decline in production for all stats as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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