Josh Giddey Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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Josh Giddey

NBA · Player Props

Josh Giddey

G · Oklahoma City Thunder

Assists

Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Giddey Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Josh Giddey has put up 6.2 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 95th percentile.
Josh Giddey has averaged 30.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Jazz have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should boost opportunities for the Thunder.
The Oklahoma City Thunder check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

While on their home court, the Jazz have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Josh Giddey will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually reduces player performance across the board.

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