Jose Alvarado Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2025

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Jose Alvarado

NBA · Player Props

Jose Alvarado

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans · Nov 21, 2025

Updated Nov 22, 2025 1:33 AM UTC

Analysis

Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Pelicans will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the New Orleans Pelicans's poor 108.9 points per game measures as the worst in the NBA this year.
Over the last 11 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have shot 33.7% on three-pointers (30th-best in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The 4th-slowest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.

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