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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Points
Player Prop - 4/13/2025

New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jose Alvarado has attempted 15.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Compared to last year's 1.3 rate, Jose Alvarado's threes scored have increased this year to 2.0 per game.

The Pelicans have played at the 9th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

The Pelicans check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regard to offense, the Pelicans's unimpressive 101.8 points per game as the home team comes in as the weakest in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The matchup against Oklahoma is a difficult one for scoring; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have compiled the lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (34.7%).

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, struggling to draw fouls.

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