Jose Alvarado Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2025

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Jose Alvarado

NBA · Player Props

Jose Alvarado

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 4, 2025

Updated Apr 5, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jose Alvarado has attempted 5.3 treys per game this season, quite a bit more than his 3.7 mark last season.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 15.6 shot attempts per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Lakers, making this a strong matchup.
The 10th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pelicans.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Jose Alvarado has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 16.7% more than he's made in all games this season on the road.

Favors Under

The Pelicans rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 9th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
Jose Alvarado will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to lower player production across the board.

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