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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2025

LA Clippers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jose Alvarado has attempted 5.3 treys per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 3.7 rate last season.

The 7th-speediest pace away offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Pelicans.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Jose Alvarado has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 18.8% higher than he's converted overall this year without the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.

This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot 42.1% on field goals (8th-worst in the league) vs. the Clippers, identifying this as a tough matchup.

The New Orleans Pelicans will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from being pitted against the 3rd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the LA Clippers).

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 foul shots per game this year when the LA Clippers are on their home court (8th-least in the league).

Jose Alvarado will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually decreases player production across the board.

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