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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2025

New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Out of all players in the NBA, Jose Alvarado measures in the 84th percentile for 3-pointers drained, logging 2.0 per game this year.
  • The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (24.4).
  • Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans rank 5th-best in in the league while at home with 12.7 offensive boards per game this year.
  • The matchup vs. Golden State is a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 7.1 free throws per game this year when the Warriors are the visiting team (most in the league).
  • Jose Alvarado will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.
  • The 4th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Pelicans.
  • The Warriors have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to decrease opportunities for the New Orleans Pelicans.
  • Jose Alvarado has made 50.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 29.6% less than he's sunk over the course of the year.

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