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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Points
Player Prop - 1/10/2024

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Jose Alvarado measures in the 79th percentile for scoring prowess on the road with a an excellent 52.4% rate this year.

The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a hard one for threes; the other team has compiled the 6th-lowest 3-point rate in the league over the last 20 games (34.8%).

The Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 21 games at home, which should increase plays for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Pelicans rank 8thbest in in the league with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

With the home court advantage, the Warriors have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

In comparison to last season's 84.3% mark, Jose Alvarado's free-throw effectiveness has dropped this season to 59.4%.

This year, their opposition has attempted 24.6 free throws per game (5th-highest in the league) against the Warriors, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

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