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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-132).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jose Alvarado has sunk 56.7% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 8.8% more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season on the road.

This year, opposing teams have totaled 107.5 points per game (lowest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, resulting in a hard matchup for offensive productivity.

The Pelicans have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the road team.

The Timberwolves have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should boost possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the New Orleans Pelicans grade out 7thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jose Alvarado has played a measly 16.5 minutes per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 21.5 minutes per game last season.

With respect to three-point attempts, the 4th-least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Pelicans.

While at home, the Timberwolves have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jose Alvarado has converted a lowly 59.4% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly lower than his 84.3 rate last season.

Jose Alvarado figures to suffer a drop-off in performance in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this game.

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