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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Points
Player Prop - 12/23/2023

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets

Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup against the Rockets is a hard one for threes; their opposition has shot for the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (31.4%).

The Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Pelicans check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Jose Alvarado has attempted 2.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season.

Jose Alvarado ought to see a spike in output for all stats due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jose Alvarado has converted 29.9% of his shots from the field on his home court this year, putting him in the 8th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jose Alvarado lands in the 16th percentile for 3-point ability while at home with a a weak 23.3% rate this year.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court when it comes to 3-point attempts.

The Rockets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

The Rockets have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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