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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Points
Player Prop - 12/21/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New Orleans Pelicans

 
 
 
Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jose Alvarado has successfully made 58.7% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 10.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season while on the road.
  • In regard to shooting, the Pelicans's superb 126.8 points per game places 4th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
  • This matchup is a tough one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Cavaliers are at home, their opposition has totaled the 4th-fewest three attempts per game in the league against them this year (33.2).
  • The 5th-quickest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the New Orleans Pelicans.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 3rd-fastest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Cavaliers).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jose Alvarado has averaged a mere 16.9 minutes per game this year, quite a bit less than his 21.5 minutes per game last year.
  • The New Orleans Pelicans have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year with respect to 3-point attempts.
  • When playing at home, the Cavaliers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jose Alvarado has sunk a measly 59.7% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 84.3 rate last year.
  • This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Cavaliers are at home, opposing teams have attempted a massive 23.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (most in the league).

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