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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Points
Player Prop - 12/17/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+106/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 7th-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Pelicans.

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Pelicans.

The Pelicans have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

This year, their opposition has brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Spurs (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jose Alvarado has attempted a lowly 6.0 shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 8.0 rate last year.

In regard to 3-pointers, the Pelicans's subpar 10.6 drained threes per game while playing away from home places 3rd-weakest in the league this year.

This year, opposing teams have averaged 38.5% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, resulting in a favorable matchup.

Jose Alvarado has made a lowly 56.7% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit lower than his 84.3 mark last year.

This matchup is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; when the Spurs are at home, the other team has attempted a monstrous 26.0 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

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