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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2023

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jose Alvarado Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jose Alvarado has attempted 5.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.8 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.

Jose Alvarado has successfully made 98.2% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games, 13.9% more than he's converted overall this year.

Jose Alvarado has been on the court for 28.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 7.0 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year on the road.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while playing away from home (which can also provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jose Alvarado has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.

The Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games when playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; their opposition have attempted a lowly 25.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games while on his home court (4th-least in the NBA).

The New Orleans Pelicans check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

The Pelicans have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce plays for the Nuggets.

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