Jose Alvarado Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Jose Alvarado

NBA · Player Props

Jose Alvarado

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Made 3 Point Shots

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 3:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Jose Alvarado Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 1.3 mark, Jose Alvarado's three-point shots sunk have jumped this season to 2.0 per game.
The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jose Alvarado will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the NBA at home over the last 10 games has been the Pelicans.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Pelicans.

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