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Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado Assists
Player Prop - 2/23/2024

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat

Jose Alvarado Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jose Alvarado has posted 3.4 assists per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.5 higher than he's posted in all games this season at home.

The Pelicans have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have grabbed 6.2 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to additional opportunities for offense).

Jose Alvarado is expected to see a rise in performance in all facets of the game as a result of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which should lead to fewer possessions for the New Orleans Pelicans.

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