Jordan Walsh Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2024

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Jordan Walsh

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Walsh

G · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · Dec 2, 2024

Updated Dec 3, 2024 4:03 AM EST

Analysis

Jordan Walsh Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Walsh has converted 50.0% of his treys over the last 5 games, 25.8% higher than he's made over the course of the year.
Jordan Walsh has committed 0.9 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 13th percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone.
The Celtics check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled 5.8 three attempts per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Heat, branding this as a positive matchup.
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Jordan Walsh has tallied 8.6 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the NBA: 8th percentile.
The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Relative to last year's 50.0% rate, Jordan Walsh's free-throw effectiveness has decreased this year to 0.0%.

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