Jordan Poole Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/15/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 15, 2023

Updated Apr 16, 2023 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has played 29.2 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league this year.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Kings have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has totaled 0.3 offensive rebounds per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 25th percentile -- among the worst in the NBA by this metric.
Jordan Poole has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The Kings have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Warriors.
Jordan Poole will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens player production in all stat categories.

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