Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2026

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · New Orleans Pelicans

Points

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 4, 2026

Updated Jan 5, 2026 2:14 AM EST

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-120/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ +103 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.3 three attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the league over the last 15 games.
The Pelicans are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the quickest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).
The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.4 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Pelicans have been the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the road team this year.

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