Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 2/2/2024

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat · Feb 2, 2024

Updated Feb 3, 2024 12:47 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jordan Poole ranks in the 76th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 29.2 minutes per game this year.
When it comes to shooting, the Washington Wizards's outstanding 48.6% field goal rate while at home places 9th-strongest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).
The quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards.
This year, opposing squads have brought down 9.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-fewest in the league) vs. the Heat (reducing possessions that could otherwise result in more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has attempted a lowly 6.3 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this season, quite a bit less than his 7.4 mark last season.
Out of all players in the league, Jordan Poole rates in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Wizards will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the NBA this year (the Heat).
The Washington Wizards rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Jordan Poole has sunk a lowly 2.7 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 4.1 rate last season.

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