Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 21, 2024 11:02 PM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has attempted 17.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Among all players in the league, Jordan Poole rates in the 91st percentile for three-point attempts, tallying 6.4 per game this year.
Jordan Poole has been on the court for 29.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 76th percentile.
The most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Jordan Poole lands in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 3.1 fouls per game this year.
Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have notched 15.6 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
The Wizards are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).
The Denver Nuggets have allowed the 10th-most offensive boards per game (11.0) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
With respect to drawing fouls, the Washington Wizards's poor 18.6 foul shot attempts per game when playing at home ranks worst in the league this year.