Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 11, 2024 12:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has converted 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year without the home court advantage.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 19.0 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, making this a positive matchup for offensive output.
The fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year has been the Wizards.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Washington Wizards.
Jordan Poole has successfully made 95.1% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 12.9% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year while on the road.

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Washington Wizards check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Indiana Pacers have allowed the most offensive boards per game (12.7) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jordan Poole will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player production in all facets of the game.