Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 9, 2024 12:02 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+104/-139).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has attempted 6.4 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
In terms of scoring, the Wizards's fantastic 49.3% field goal rate while on their home court rates 5th-strongest in the league this year.
The fastest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The Thunder have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Wizards.
Jordan Poole will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually improves player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 34.7% on shot attempts from the field (15th-worst in the league) vs. the Thunder, creating a hard matchup.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 7.7 offensive boards per game this year.
The Thunder have allowed the most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Jordan Poole has sunk just 2.7 free throws per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 4.1 mark last year.

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