Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Washington Wizards · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 12:08 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.7 higher than he's sunk in all games this year away from home.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home.
The quickest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Wizards.
Jordan Poole has successfully made 93.2% of his free throws over the last 10 games on the road, 12.0% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jordan Poole rates in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 3.1 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have notched 12.1 points per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers, making this a tough matchup for offensive output.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Washington Wizards.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 7.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
At home, the Cleveland Cavaliers have given up the 10th-most offensive boards per game (10.9) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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