Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards · Nov 27, 2023

Updated Nov 27, 2023 11:57 PM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has attempted 19.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
In terms of offense, the Washington Wizards's fantastic 117.6 points per game rates 8th-most in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 8.6 buckets per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Pistons, branding this as a strong matchup.
The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The matchup vs. Detroit is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.6 foul shots per game since the start of last season when the Detroit Pistons are playing at home (27th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Jordan Poole rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a whopping 3.1 fouls per game this year.
The Washington Wizards are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 9th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Pistons).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Wizards grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA at home with just 8.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Without the home court advantage, the Detroit Pistons have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 4.1 mark, Jordan Poole's free throws drained have decreased this season to 2.8 per game.