Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 12:22 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has attempted 14.8 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Jordan Poole slots into the 88th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc away from his home court, compiling 6.6 per game this year.
The Wizards have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year.
The fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated overall this year on the road.
Since the start of last season when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 12.5 field goal attempts per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, creating a challenging matchup.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, their opposition has nabbed 12.3 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (saving possessions that can create further chances for offense).
In contrast to last year's 4.7 mark, Jordan Poole's number of foul shots has been reduced this year to 2.6 foul shots per game.

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