Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers · May 4, 2023

Updated May 5, 2023 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has made 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season playing at home.
Jordan Poole has tallied 28.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 76th percentile.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one; when the Lakers are away from home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (21.4).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to more plays for the Warriors.

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Lakers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (15.2) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Jordan Poole has made a mere 84.6% of his free throws this year, quite a bit less than his 92.2 mark last year.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at getting to the foul line: worst in the league this year, tallying a mere 20.4 free throw attempts per game.

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