Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 4/17/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 17, 2023

Updated Apr 18, 2023 1:37 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has attempted 15.5 shots from the field per game this season, a significant increase from his 13.4 rate last season.
Jordan Poole has tallied 29.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the league this year.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Kings have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (86th percentile).
This matchup is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Kings are on their home court, opposing squads have posted the highest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (50.6%).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the free throw line: worst in the league this year, totaling a measly 20.3 free throws per game.
This matchup may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; when the Kings have the home court advantage, their opposition have attempted a monstrous 26.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the league).
Jordan Poole will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases stat production across the board.