Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 1:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has successfully made 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's converted from three in all games this season on his home court.
Jordan Poole has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 79th percentile.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Spurs have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game at home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The matchup against the Spurs is a strong one; they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to opposing squads this year (122.6).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line: worst in the league this year, tallying a measly 20.1 foul shot attempts per game.
This matchup may be a strong one for drawing fouls; when the Spurs are the visiting team, opposing squads have attempted an enormous 27.5 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (most in the NBA).

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