Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 2:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has attempted 7.8 threes per game this year, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jordan Poole has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
This matchup is a positive one for three-point attempts; opposing teams have totaled the 5th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 15 games when the Pelicans are on the road (36.1).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been poor at getting to the foul line: worst in the league this year, averaging a mere 20.1 foul shots per game.
This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when the Pelicans are away from home, opposing squads have attempted a massive 26.0 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (5th-most in the NBA).

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