Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-116/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has converted 2.7 3-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 94th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Jordan Poole has sunk 93.6% of his free throws while at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the league.
The matchup vs. New Orleans may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.5 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Pelicans are on the road (27th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The matchup against New Orleans is a challenging one for threes; when the Pelicans are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.8).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Warriors.
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at getting to the free throw line in recent games: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, averaging just 17.5 foul shot attempts per game.