Jordan Poole Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs LA Clippers · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 3:32 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has sunk 2.7 treys per game this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a strong one; when the Clippers are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (19.7).
The Golden State Warriors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Jordan Poole has successfully made 93.6% of his free throw attempts on his home court this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Clippers is a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 4.7 foul shots per game this year (29th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Clippers have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease plays for the Warriors.
The Clippers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been bad at drawing fouls of late: worst in the league over the last 15 games, drawing a lowly 17.5 free throws per game.