Jordan Poole Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2024

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards · Jan 13, 2024

Updated Jan 14, 2024 3:28 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has totaled 3.6 assists per game this year on the road, putting him among the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch of games: 83rd percentile.
The quickest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Wizards.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Wizards grade out 9thbest in in the NBA with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jordan Poole rates in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 3.1 fouls per game while on the road this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Jordan Poole will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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