Jordan Poole Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 2:22 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has totaled 3.7 assists per game away from home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league leaders by this standard.
The 2nd-quickest tempo team in the league this year has been the Wizards.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA at home this year, which should increase possessions for the Wizards.
Jordan Poole will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Washington Wizards have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Milwaukee Bucks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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