Jordan Poole Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 2:48 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has posted 3.7 assists per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this standard.
The fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Washington Wizards.
The Wizards will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).
Jordan Poole will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated overall this year on the road.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Washington Wizards grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with just 8.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, their opposition has nabbed 12.3 offensive boards per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks (saving possessions that can create further chances for offense).

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