Jordan Poole Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 23, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -149.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has averaged 4.6 assists per game this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- among the best in the NBA in this category in recent days.
Jordan Poole has averaged 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 79th percentile.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the quickest pace in the league this year.
The Mavericks have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to raise opportunities for the Warriors.

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile).
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jordan Poole will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces stat production across the board.

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