Jordan Poole Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 5, 2023 8:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-150/+122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has averaged 4.0 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 88th percentile.
Jordan Poole has played 29.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 79th percentile.
The Lakers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (92nd percentile).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
Playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Jordan Poole will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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