Jordan Poole Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 3:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has averaged 3.8 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the NBA's best in this category over this stretch of games: 83rd percentile.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Jordan Poole will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Pelicans have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Warriors.

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