Jordan Poole Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Jordan Poole

NBA · Player Props

Jordan Poole

G · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 12:03 AM UTC

Analysis

Jordan Poole Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-142/+116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jordan Poole has put up 4.0 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 88th percentile.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Jordan Poole will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Jordan Poole has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 85th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to decrease possessions for the Warriors.

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